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Request Information119 Beaver Street, Jacksonville, FL 32202, United States
Request a free conversation about your military pension, TSP, and second-career finances. No obligation.
Request InformationFor most service members, when to retire from the military comes down to break-even, and First Command Financial Services frames it as the age when staying's bigger pension repays the income you gave up. Under High-3, each year of service adds 2.5% of your High-3, so 24 years pays 60% against 50% at 20. The question usually surfaces the month your Leave and Earnings Statement first shows 18 years of service.
Clients put it in plain words: 'Is four more years worth it, or should I get out at 20 and start the second career?' Below, the 2.5% multiplier, a $264,000 cost and a break-even table come first. Then the article moves through year 18, age 40, year 19, the retirement date and the 50s.
In reviews with military households, First Command Financial Services usually sees the same gap: people price the pension carefully and forget to price what could go wrong while they wait for it to pay off. This article treats the choice as risk management. It asks what is reversible, what isn't, and how much room you keep for a bad year.
By Elena Rodriguez, CFA — Portfolio Manager | Reviewed by Marcus Thompson, CFAIf payback takes 15 years, you're not buying income, you're betting on your health and on the rules staying put. Price that bet before you sign anything.
Daniel Reyes, Senior Financial Planner at First Command Financial Services
A bigger pension doesn't stop a panic sale. Put your sell rule in writing while the market is calm.
Karen Whitfield, CPA, Tax Director at First Command Financial Services
Start with the Leave and Earnings Statement in myPay. It shows your Pay Entry Base Date, years of service and current basic pay. Use it to mark the exact month you reach 20 years and the month you would reach 24.
Next, use the DFAS military pay tables to project your highest 36 months of basic pay for each exit date. Then feed those months into the DoD retired pay calculator or your service's own retirement estimate, which turns them into a monthly figure.
Third, download the account statement from tsp.gov for the balance and contributions. A regular military compensation calculator then prices BAH, BAS and their tax advantage against a civilian salary. Reservists add the retirement points statement, because equivalent years equal total points ÷ 360.
Hiroshi, a hypothetical person, ran these numbers at 40, with 18 years in as a Navy commander. Leaving at 20 (age 42) on a $10,000 High-3 pays 50%, or $5,000 each month. Staying to 24 (age 46) on a $10,800 High-3 pays 60%, or $6,480 each month. The gap is $1,480 each month, or $17,760 each year.
Now the cost. Assume his civilian job pays about what his military pay and allowances did, so salary washes out. What's left is the forgone pension, $5,000 × 12 = $60,000 each year, plus a forgone $6,000 401(k) match. That's $66,000 each year, and $66,000 × 4 = $264,000.
The table assumes one thing: the full $264,000 is given up by age 46, and the added $17,760 begins that same year. Divide $264,000 by $17,760 and you get 14.9 years after retiring at 46, so about age 61, before taxes, COLA and growth. By age 71 the added pension totals $444,000.
Here's what the spreadsheet missed. The bigger pension gave Hiroshi a higher floor, yet in his 50s he still sold half his C Fund during a crash. Four more years of service raised his income; they did nothing for his nerves in a falling market. Stock funds can drop, and if you sell after the drop, the loss becomes permanent. His written plan now carries one rule: he calls before selling any stock fund after a drop.
The break-even also ignores taxes, COLAs, promotion odds and what the forgone pension could have earned if invested, which would push payback later.
| Age | Running cost of staying | Running added pension |
|---|---|---|
| Age 44 | $132,000 | $0 |
| Age 46 | $264,000 | $0 |
| Age 51 | $264,000 | $88,800 |
| Age 56 | $264,000 | $177,600 |
| Age 61 | $264,000 | $266,400 |
| Age 71 | $264,000 | $444,000 |
Staying to 22 adds $720 each month to a $5,000 pension, and staying to 24 adds $1,480 each month. Each extra pair of years costs about $132,000 in forgone pension and match, so payback lands near age 59 for 22 years and age 61 for 24 years.
The 22-year row uses an assumed $10,400 High-3 × 55% = $5,720 each month, which is $720 more, or $8,640 each year. Then $132,000 ÷ $8,640 = 15.3 years after age 44. Same four criteria for each option: added pension, cost, payback age and years exposed to health and rule changes.
The Blended Retirement System pays 2.0% a year of service instead of 2.5%, so its payback runs longer. Another page on this site covers it.
Divide the cost of staying (forgone pension plus lost civilian benefits) by the added yearly pension. If payback takes about 15 years or more, treat the extra service as a bet on your health and on unchanged rules. Stay only if you'd want the job for its own sake.
| Criterion | Leave at 20 | Stay to 22 | Stay to 24 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Retirement age | 42 | 44 | 46 |
| Monthly pension | $5,000 | $5,720 | $6,480 |
| Added monthly pension | $0 | $720 | $1,480 |
| Cost of staying | $0 | $132,000 | $264,000 |
| Payback age | None needed | About 59 | About 61 |
| Years exposed to health and rule changes | 0 | 2 | 4 |
Your career counselor or personnel office can confirm your earliest retirement date and any active-duty service obligation tied to a school, bonus or promotion. Watch for an obligation that runs past your 20-year mark, because it can change both exit options.
Officers should ask about time in grade. Retiring at the current grade generally needs 3 years in that grade, waivable to 2 in some cases. A shortfall can mean retired pay figured at the lower grade, and that costs real money every month.
Then call the civilian employer's HR. Ask how the 401(k) match vests and whether the start date can move with terminal leave. A 3-year cliff vest means leaving before year 3 forfeits the whole match. Also ask the TSP to confirm the account can stay put after separation (it can).
In most households the spouse or partner raises the question first, often the week new PCS orders or a deployment notice arrive. For a single member like Hiroshi, it tends to come from a parent or sibling asking when he'll 'get out.' Sit down with the break-even table and ask one thing out loud: would each of you stay the extra years even if the payback age were 75?
Before the retirement date, a submitted request can sometimes be withdrawn or moved, but only with approval from your service's personnel command. After the date, you can't return to add years. Ask how late a change is allowed before you give a civilian employer a start date.
The job offer is usually the less flexible side. After the date, recall is the service's decision, not yours. The Survivor Benefit Plan election is permanent except for a window between the 25th and 36th month after retired pay starts, with spouse consent. Leave sell-back is capped at 60 days over a career. Only the TSP stays fully flexible, with no deadline to move it.
A civilian recruiter's offer letter compared a $150,000 salary with $120,000 of basic pay and called it a $30,000 raise. It ignored roughly $30,000 each year of BAH and BAS that isn't taxed. A member who leaves at 20 on that phantom raise gives up $17,760 each year of added pension for life. Catch it by comparing the offer with regular military compensation, not basic pay.
Another slip is assuming the TSP is penalty-free at 55. Under IRS rules, the exception for withdrawals before 59½ generally needs a separation date in the calendar year you turn 55 or later. Someone who retired at 46 pays a 10% penalty, so $5,000 on a $50,000 withdrawal. Check the current IRS rule for your case.
Ignoring health in the break-even is the third. If Hiroshi had died at 55, the added pension collected would be 9 × $17,760 = $159,840 against $264,000 given up, a shortfall of $104,160. A pension that pays back at 61 asks you to be around at 61.
Probably not. High-3 averages your highest 36 months of basic pay, so if you're still getting raises or promotions, it sits below today's pay. It catches up as those 36 months roll forward. Compare the estimate with the DFAS pay tables for your exit date before assuming an error.
A medical retirement runs through your service's disability evaluation process, and pay is generally figured by the more favorable of your disability rating or your years of service, depending on the case. Ask your service's personnel office before any decision, because the rules and the tax treatment differ from a standard 20-year retirement.
Compare it with regular military compensation, which adds BAH, BAS and the tax advantage on those allowances to basic pay. Basic pay alone understates what you earn now. In the example, about $30,000 each year of untaxed allowances erased a $30,000 apparent raise.
Usually yes, because the premium is a percentage of the base amount you elect, and a longer career can raise your retired pay and that base. Ask DFAS for the current premium rate and run it on both pension amounts. A bigger pension can mean a bigger monthly SBP cost.
Not in the example. The IRS age-55 exception turns on when you separate, and Hiroshi's exits at 42 and 46 both fall well before the calendar year he turns 55. In both cases, a TSP withdrawal before 59½ can carry the 10% penalty. Check the current IRS rule before you withdraw.
You can pull the LES, run the 2.5% math and divide the cost of staying by the added pension on your own. What's worth a first conversation with First Command Financial Services is pressure-testing your cost assumptions, the Survivor Benefit Plan cost on a bigger pension, and how the pension's size should change your TSP stock share. That conversation ends with the rule written into the written plan.
This article is general financial information only, not investment advice tailored to your circumstances. Investing involves risk, including loss of principal. Before making any financial decision, consult a qualified professional about your specific situation.